December 26, 2007

Gerbal warming has stopped

"Global warming stopped? Surely not. What heresy is this? Haven’t we been told that the science of global warming is settled beyond doubt and that all that’s left to the so-called sceptics is the odd errant glacier that refuses to melt?

Aren’t we told that if we don’t act now rising temperatures will render most of the surface of the Earth uninhabitable within our lifetimes?

With only few days remaining in 2007, the indications are the global temperature for this year is the same as that for 2006 – there has been no warming over the 12 months.

The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same as 2006 as well as every year since 2001. Global warming has, temporarily or permanently, ceased. Temperatures across the world are not increasing as they should according to the fundamental theory behind global warming – the greenhouse effect. Something else is happening and it is vital that we find out what or else we may spend hundreds of billions of pounds needlessly.

But here it starts getting messy and, perhaps, a little inconvenient for some. Looking at the global temperatures as used by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the UK’s Met Office and the IPCC (and indeed Al Gore) it’s apparent that there has been a sharp rise since about 1980.

The period 1980-98 was one of rapid warming – a temperature increase of about 0.5 degrees C (CO2 rose from 340ppm to 370ppm). But since then the global temperature has been flat (whilst the CO2 has relentlessly risen from 370ppm to 380ppm). This means that the global temperature today is about 0.3 deg less than it would have been had the rapid increase continued.

For the past decade the world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped. It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational fact. Clearly the world of the past 30 years is warmer than the previous decades and there is abundant evidence (in the northern hemisphere at least) that the world is responding to those elevated temperatures. But the evidence shows that global warming as such has ceased.

Scientists and politicians talk of future projected temperature increases. But if the world has stopped warming what use these projections then?

The science is fascinating, the ramifications profound, but we are fools if we think we have a sufficient understanding of such a complicated system as the Earth’s atmosphere’s interaction with sunlight to decide. We know far less than many think we do or would like you to think we do. We must explain why global warming has stopped."
And we mustn't spend trillions of dollars on the human conceit of "reversing the climate", rather than providing two billion people with safe drinking water and sanitary living conditions. And we mustn't let the opportunistic entrepreneurs become rich, fat and happy, taking our money for the spurious cause of "off setting" our carbon emissions, or any among thousands of shonky environmental frauds being promoted and encouraged by everyone from politicians to scientists, all of whom should have enough synapses firing at any given moment to not be seduced by mass hysteria and Al Gore.

Has global warming stopped?

1 comment:

  1. Anonymous3:31 PM

    Gosh Caz, you are just so astute and sensible.
    This Global Warming crap has really gathered so much worldwide attention and mommentum, that I wonder what it's going to take to stop the snowball from getting bigger and bigger as it rolls downhill.
    It also concerns me too that the needs of many are being neglected while money is pumped into this global warming sham, without any real evidence
    It's actually quite shamefull I think.
    Your post is most certainly a timely one.

    It also makes me wonder.. How can we all be so gullible.
    And.... why haven't you got a weekly column with a prominent Australian Newspaper.