Only days ago my knee-jerk reaction to Craig.W's suggestion that the Libs had a pretty decent chance of winning this federal election was to say 'nay, ain't gunna happen'.
The ALP took an absurd gamble in dumping Rudd, not only the action itself, but the manner in which it was done. It had an unholy whiff to it. Even in the world of politics, the stench was putrid.
Having done the deed, for the greater good of the party - so the story-board goes - it would be no small irony if our first female PM also ends up being our shortest serving PM.
My first post when Gillard did the deed was to suggest the ALP was dead. I changed my mind. As you do. Now it looks as if my first thought was not so off track.
I might also owe Craig.W an apology.
This election, for all it's lack of color and movement, so bereft of substance or risk, is set to be one of the most interesting.
Even if Gillard is not lying awake at night asking the question, it's a dead-cert that her colleagues are, or should be: what the hell have we done?
Win or lose, the federal ALP is officially a haunted party. The ruddy smell will never go away.